Description

This analysis provides a forecast of THETA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 2.141756 2.450889 2.789420 3.187746 3.643762 4.149717 4.753971
2024-12-15 1.658454 2.073698 2.570226 3.208144 4.006847 4.975047 6.239895
2024-12-22 1.390265 1.847888 2.429308 3.223120 4.280595 5.643677 7.539077
2024-12-29 1.208554 1.688627 2.329582 3.249378 4.538617 6.286396 8.844801
2025-01-05 1.041499 1.519312 2.185159 3.182746 4.643966 6.713372 9.880659
2025-01-12 0.907133 1.375205 2.052900 3.108117 4.715870 7.083673 10.855506
2025-01-19 0.791491 1.242639 1.918956 3.009657 4.732275 7.361494 11.705634
2025-01-26 0.763103 1.238123 1.973892 3.200323 5.203963 8.366761 13.775796
2025-02-02 0.737032 1.233180 2.025551 3.387839 5.685146 9.427795 16.039103
2025-02-09 0.703423 1.211470 2.046515 3.524593 6.092726 10.402885 18.252782
2025-02-16 0.658687 1.165778 2.022172 3.580302 6.364993 11.171867 20.183105
2025-02-23 0.599222 1.088182 1.935375 3.517342 6.421079 11.568547 21.486018
2025-03-02 0.554218 1.032949 1.884154 3.515921 6.592982 12.196514 23.296150
2025-03-09 0.518140 0.990451 1.851664 3.545434 6.824585 12.955050 25.431765
2025-03-16 0.484075 0.948056 1.814768 3.561776 7.030572 13.681339 27.574148
2025-03-23 0.454999 0.912208 1.786409 3.590835 7.262200 14.475173 29.926844
2025-03-30 0.416796 0.854498 1.710243 3.517111 7.280311 14.848318 31.456538
2025-04-06 0.381515 0.799228 1.633642 3.434541 7.270983 15.162506 32.890140
2025-04-13 0.347048 0.742320 1.548466 3.325607 7.194971 15.329900 34.022210
2025-04-20 0.346431 0.756791 1.611488 3.536558 7.821810 17.032886 38.689457
2025-04-27 0.344851 0.768949 1.670511 3.744041 8.460352 18.819182 43.725715
2025-05-04 0.338027 0.768837 1.702973 3.895366 8.987275 20.407494 48.468817
2025-05-11 0.324187 0.751602 1.696235 3.957012 9.314699 21.576289 52.344127